Sunday, January 1, 2012

1106946949.txt

From: Keith Briffa
To: dirk.verschuren@gfz-potsdam.de
Subject: Re: Dirk
Date: Fri Jan 28 16:15:49 2005
Cc: Stephen.Juggins@newcastle.ac.uk,Valerie Masson-Delmotte ,eystein.jansen@geo.uib.no, Sandy Tudhope ,dan.charman@plymouth.ac.uk

Dear Dirk
good news re your not dropping out . We are happy to have you and if you can do what you
can in the time available this would be good. Valerie and I will send a general message
Monday am to all WP1 folk to say what is needed now, but we thought it best to to get
back to you straight away re specific points raised in Steve's message.
First, I hope you will be responsible with Dan (and help from Sandy Tudhope) for
co-ordinating Task 1.4 of WP1 following the concept as we saw it in the preliminary
proposal. Of course you would focus on North African (and north and south of this area)
work - on the collection, comparison, integration, interpretation of the high and lower
resolution records that relate to hydrology. I see Dan as taking the strain regarding the
more Northern areas - with obvious attention to wetlands and Sandy helping with dynamic
links (and ENSO?). Of course there are other records and there will be a need to restrict
"new" collection/laboratory analyses to very specific , justified (and accepted by SC)
situations , but the high resolution core(s) you told me of would be relevant. I suggest
you think in terms of a person to work on this AND data compilation - perhaps a (cheap)
postdoc for 3 years , and money for internal WP1 meetings - say 250KEuro ?
FOR NOW - we need you to liaise with Dan and Sandy to produce what you can for the Task
1.4(see attached old version of proposal to start from) . We will need a "state of the Art"
Scientific objectives and approach details . Your whole Task 1.4 section can only be 1 page
A4 single spaced max.
AFTER LONG DISCUSSION IN LONDON- it was decided that this task would NOW NOT INCLUDE the
paleoflood work - and Eystein will be communicating with Bennitto to (regretfully ) to
inform him that we have had to remove his contribution (please do not contact him until
Eystein has done this). We will not put a specific focus on floods (though of course some
work can be done using existing European flood data), because of Rudolf Brazdil , and we
hope , he will accept to be part of WP1 but put some of his requested funds into WP6 .
Hence you 3 can concentrate more on the concept of large scale hydologic variability
,monsoon changes , north south linkages etc. The problem with ENSO persists. I know you
Sandy want to focus entirely on this, but we could compromise perhaps and you do part this
and part Europe? It was decided that we will (somewhere) include data/model comparison
with US droughts , but this does not require effort on out part other than minor data
compilation of existing records [Eystein, we therefore need to ensure Cook is one of the
associated americans]. We will put together an appendix of preliminary records to be used
in each task - just to show impressive new potential integration (but not a priority for
now).
You do not need to sign any forms officially at this stage - just get approval presumably
from your department internally . If we ever get there, forms will be handled at contract
negotiation.
So get in touch with each other (resend ideas , do not assume your previous emails went to
each other), get exchanging ideas and draft what you can .
ON monday , the specific letter to all people will come round , with requested timeline ,
task, deliverables re budget and precise format of Science writing that we need to assemble
the proposal. Then Valerie and I will have to look at the whole thing in the context of our
total 3.7 M budget.
IT WILL ALL SEEM WORTH IT IN 2006
All the very best Keith and Valerie
Keith's home number is 441953 851013
mobile 0776 9732 685
At 12:37 28/01/2005, Stephen Juggins wrote:

Hi Keith, copy to Eystein, Oyvind
Just had a long chat with Dirk. It's OK, he's not in Millenium!
The reason he was pulling out is over committment this year. Anyway, I
managed to persuade him to change his mind - the project won't start
until Jan 2006 at the very earliest, so any input won't be needed until
next year. He was also unsure what to ask for - I suggested he should
cost in a post-doc for 3 years and 2 meetings per year, plus some "data
workshops". Keith - can you give him some guidance on costing these so
they are in line with what others are asking for. I told him that you
would look at the overall budges for WP1 and adjust if necessary to meet
the target.
His only short term problem is revising any text for the proposal - he
leaves for Kenya next Thursday. I realised that Eystein has only sent
the documents to the ssc people so Keith, can you forward these to Dirk
and let him know exactly what you need from him for the text and
budgets.
Finally, Dirk was worried that he wouldn't be able to get any paperwork
& signatures from his Uni but as I understood from the meeting yesterday
this was not needed. Is this right? If there are any forms to fill in
we had better get these to him asap.
Cheers, Steve
Steve Juggins
School of Geography, Politics & Sociology
University of Newcastle Tel: +44 (0)191 222 8799
Newcastle upon Tyne Fax: +44 (0)191 222 5421
NE1 7RU, UK Mobile: +44 07740054905
[1]http://www.campus.ncl.ac.uk/staff/Stephen.Juggins/


--
Professor Keith Briffa,
Climatic Research Unit
University of East Anglia
Norwich, NR4 7TJ, U.K.

Phone: +44-1603-593909
Fax: +44-1603-507784
[2]http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/people/briffa/

References

1. http://www.campus.ncl.ac.uk/staff/Stephen.Juggins/
2. http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/people/briffa/

1088632271.txt

From: Tom Wigley
To: Jerry Meehl , Sarah Raper , Sarah Raper , Ben Santer , Doug Nychka
Subject: AR4: missing attachment
Date: Wed, 30 Jun 2004 17:51:11 -0600

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1258053464.txt

From: "Thorne, Peter (Climate Research)" <peter.thorne@metoffice.gov.uk>
To: "Phil Jones" <p.jones@uea.ac.uk>
Subject: Letter draft
Date: Thu, 12 Nov 2009 14:17:44 -0000

Phil, attached is a draft letter. We were keen to keep it as short,
sweet and uncomplicated as possible without skipping over important
details. Shorter, simpler, requests are more likely to get read and
acted upon was the specific advice from international relations.

--
Peter Thorne, Climate Research scientist
Met Office Hadley Centre, FitzRoy Road, Exeter, EX1 3PB.
tel. +44 1392 886552 fax. +44 1392 885681
http://www.hadobs.org


Attachment Converted: "c:\eudora\attach\Phil_letter_draft_091109.doc"

1258039134.txt

From: Phil Jones <p.jones@uea.ac.uk>
To: Sandy Tudhope <sandy.tudhope@ed.ac.uk>
Subject: Latest draft of WP1
Date: Thu Nov 12 10:18:54 2009
Cc: "Wolff, Eric W" <ewwo@bas.ac.uk>, Rob Wilson <rjsw@st-andrews.ac.uk>, "Bass, Catherine" <C.J.Bass@exeter.ac.uk>, "Turney, Christian" <C.Turney@exeter.ac.uk>, Rob Allan <rob.allan@metoffice.gov.uk>, Keith Briffa <k.briffa@uea.ac.uk>, "t.osborn@uea.ac.uk" <t.osborn@uea.ac.uk>

Dear All (especially Chris/Catherine),
Here's the latest draft of WP1. All in the group have now commented and amended this.
You should have the 3 supporting letters from Tree partners. Eric was contacting Eric
Steig and Sandy (see below) is contacting 3 coral people.
There is an issue about a Map. Rob W put one in his PhD page. This shows the corals. If
we were to add the tree-ring sites we would mainly get a splodge of points in South America
and NZ. Ice cores would just be over the AP and in the low-lat Andes. Issue is one of
space. We already have 3pp fo this WP. Refs will reduce to about 0.5pp once we go to et al
for 3 or more authors. A map would be useful for presentation to NERC, but is it essential
for the submission?
I'm away from tomorrow lunchtime for the weekend. Back in on Monday. Hope we'll be
looking through more complete drafts next week!
Cheers
Phil
At 19:02 11/11/2009, Sandy Tudhope wrote:

Dear Phil et al,
Good to speak to you earlier Phil and Rob W..
Please find attached a slightly modified version for WP1 ... I've just changed the coral
section a bit. Briefly, I've identified the new coral coring sites (rather than get
bogged down trying to describe how we will use analysis of model output to prioritise),
plus I've added back in some references and details that I think help, but don't add too
much length.
I've written to Janice Lough, Julie Cole and Kim Cobb re being Project Partners (I
actually spoke to Kim and she is keen).
FIGURE: I still think it might be useful to have a map in the main proposal ...
basically like the one Rob has in the PhD proposal ... we can simply have boxes around
the tree ring and ice core regions. This map needn't be any larger than Rob already
has it ... but it does help illustrate where we will get/have data. What do you all
think?
Cheers,
Sandy

Prof. Phil Jones
Climatic Research Unit Telephone +44 (0) 1603 592090
School of Environmental Sciences Fax +44 (0) 1603 507784
University of East Anglia
Norwich Email p.jones@uea.ac.uk
NR4 7TJ
UK
----------------------------------------------------------------------------

1257888920.txt

From: Phil Jones <p.jones@uea.ac.uk>
To: c.harpham@uea.ac.uk
Subject: FW: Helpdesk query 1489: Hourly data have discontinuities at day joins
Date: Tue Nov 10 16:35:20 2009

Colin,
I thought that this didn't happen.
Cheers
Phil

From: C G Kilsby <c.g.kilsby@newcastle.ac.uk>
To: "p.jones@uea.ac.uk" <p.jones@uea.ac.uk>
Date: Tue, 10 Nov 2009 15:35:37 +0000
Subject: FW: Helpdesk query 1489: Hourly data have discontinuities at day
joins
Thread-Topic: Helpdesk query 1489: Hourly data have discontinuities at day
joins
Thread-Index: AcpiFAtfZVu2N5gLTBW4NaA+k/QJowAB1zVA
Accept-Language: en-GB
X-MS-Has-Attach:
X-MS-TNEF-Correlator:
acceptlanguage: en-GB
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client=lan,relay,white,ipv6; mail=; rcpt=; nrcpt=1:0; fails=0
X-Canit-CHI2: 0.00
X-Bayes-Prob: 0.0001 (Score 0, tokens from: @@RPTN, f028)
X-Spam-Score: 0.00 () [Hold at 5.00] HTML_MESSAGE,SPF(pass,0)
X-CanItPRO-Stream: UEA:f028 (inherits from UEA:default,base:default)
X-Canit-Stats-ID: 35355645 - b33bcd1c960c (trained as not-spam)
X-Antispam-Training-Forget:
[1]https://canit.uea.ac.uk/b.php?i=35355645&m=b33bcd1c960c&c=f
X-Antispam-Training-Nonspam:
[2]https://canit.uea.ac.uk/b.php?i=35355645&m=b33bcd1c960c&c=n
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X-Scanned-By: CanIt (www . roaringpenguin . com) on 139.222.131.184
Interesting one for you....

From: Lyndsey Middleton [[4]mailto:lyndsey.middleton@ukcip.org.uk]
Sent: 10 November 2009 2:43 PM
To: C G Kilsby
Subject: Helpdesk query 1489: Hourly data have discontinuities at day joins

Hi Chris,

Another Weather Generator query for you. It was raised by Richard Watkins of Manchester
University (and COPSE project) following a visit from Roger yesterday.

Can you let me know your response please?

Cheers,
Lyndsey

Long Description=The hourly data from the Weather

Generator have discontinuities at each

midnight join. The e.g. temperature

jumps, may be as high as 9�C. The

hourly data seem to have been generated

independently for each day, rather than

fitting a curve from the maximum of one

day to the minimum of the next. The

minimum to maximum curve, i.e. within

each day, is fine.

Could the Weather Generator be altered

to produce more realistic hourly data

by fitting from Tmax to Tmin the

following day, please? This would be

helpful particularly for any use of the

data for building simulation with plant

controls.

Thanks,

Richard Watkins

Lyndsey Middleton
Enquiries Officer

UK Climate Impacts Programme
School of Geography and Environment
OUCE
South Parks Road
Oxford OX1 3QY

[5]www.ukcip.org.uk


Tel: 01865 285 718 (direct) or 01865 285717 (switchboard)

My working days are: Tuesday and Wednesday 9am to 5pm and Friday 9 am to 12.30pm


Prof. Phil Jones
Climatic Research Unit Telephone +44 (0) 1603 592090
School of Environmental Sciences Fax +44 (0) 1603 507784
University of East Anglia
Norwich Email p.jones@uea.ac.uk
NR4 7TJ
UK
----------------------------------------------------------------------------

References

1. https://canit.uea.ac.uk/b.php?i=35355645&m=b33bcd1c960c&c=f
2. https://canit.uea.ac.uk/b.php?i=35355645&m=b33bcd1c960c&c=n
3. https://canit.uea.ac.uk/b.php?i=35355645&m=b33bcd1c960c&c=s
4. mailto:lyndsey.middleton@ukcip.org.uk
5. http://www.ukcip.org.uk/

1257881012.txt

From: AGU Atmospheric Sciences Section <Section@AGU.ORG>
To: <AS-SECTION_D@listserv.agu.org>
Subject: Letter to Atmospheric Sciences members
Date: Tue, 10 Nov 2009 14:23:32 -0500
Reply-to: AGU Atmospheric Sciences Section <Section@AGU.ORG>

Dear Atmospheric Sciences Section members,


First, I would like to remind you of three very close deadlines:


Nov. 12, Discounted registration for AGU Fall Meeting. Register at
[1]https://www.associationsciences.org/agu/meet_demog.jsp, and sign up for our Atmospheric
Sciences banquet on Dec. 15.


Nov. 13, Vote yes on AGU governance changes, [2]http://www.agu.org/governancevote/

Nov. 13, Please respond to [3]stacyjackson@berkeley.edu if you are willing to volunteer
your expertise to help answer questions during the Copenhagen Conference of the Parties of
the Framework Convention on Climate Change (see below).


Second, I would like to give you some information about where your contributions to
AGU go. Last year, members of the Atmospheric Sciences Section contributed $43,410 to
AGU's Voluntary Contribution Campaign. In 2008, due largely to member donations like
these, AGU facilitated career development events attended by 600 students, hosted 75 K-12
teachers at Fall Meeting workshops, and sponsored 31 members' visits with U.S. policy
makers. Additionally, voluntary contributions allowed AGU to provide travel grants to 135
deserving students to present their research for the first time at an AGU meeting. These
programs are essential for AGU's relevance and vitality. I know Atmospheric Science members
want AGU to do more. Please join me in supporting AGU's efforts to strengthen our
scientific society by making a gift to the 2010 Voluntary Contribution Campaign.
Unrestricted contributions are used to support AGU's greatest needs, but you can directly
support students pursuing Atmospheric Sciences by making a gift to the David Hofmann Travel
Grant, Holton-Kaufman Grant, or Namias Travel Grant. You can make your gift when you renew
your AGU membership, or you can give today at:

[4]https://www.agu.org/givingtoagu/making_your_gift.php


Sincerely,

Alan Robock

President, Atmospheric Sciences Section, AGU [5]robock@envsci.rutgers.edu

AGU Climate Scientists,


We are writing to encourage hundreds of you to participate in a unique opportunity to
improve the public's climate knowledge during the week before and the week of this year's
AGU Fall Meeting.


As you know, the Copenhagen negotiations (Dec. 7-18) are attracting hundreds of journalists
and will result in a proliferation of media articles about climate change. Recently, the
American public's "belief" in climate change has waned (36% think humans are warming the
earth according to the Pew Center's October poll), and December's media blitz provides an
opportunity to reverse the trend.


Your participation is needed to ensure that climate science coverage across media channels
is accurate, fact-based, and nuanced. Provided that enough AGU members sign up to
participate, we will be offering the opportunity for journalists reporting during the
Copenhagen conference to submit their questions on-line and receive a response from a
climate expert before an article goes to press.


We are asking each of you to sign up for two hours over the course of those two weeks
(12/7-18) to respond to questions from journalists. You will be able to choose which
queries to answer based on your expertise, and there will be an option to double-team when
questions span multiple areas of expertise. We will be setting up the appropriate
logistics to enable both virtual participation and a central work area at the AGU meeting.
If you have any questions, feel free to email Stacy Jackson at the email address below.


If you are willing to participate, please respond in the affirmative by Friday November
13th to [6]stacyjackson@berkeley.edu. Given the magnitude of the media coverage, we are
seeking several hundred willing climate scientists. More details will be forthcoming.


Thanks in advance,


Alan Robock, President, AGU Atmospheric Sciences Section

Anne Thompson, President-Elect, AGU Atmospheric Sciences Section

References

1. https://www.associationsciences.org/agu/meet_demog.jsp
2. http://www.agu.org/governancevote/
3. mailto:stacyjackson@berkeley.edu
4. https://www.agu.org/givingtoagu/making_your_gift.php
5. mailto:robock@envsci.rutgers.edu
6. mailto:stacyjackson@berkeley.edu

1257874826.txt

From: Phil Jones <p.jones@uea.ac.uk>
To: Gil Compo <compo@colorado.edu>
Subject: Re: Twentieth Century Reanalysis preliminary version 2 data - One other thing!
Date: Tue Nov 10 12:40:26 2009

Gil,
One other good plot to do is this. Plot land minus ocean. as a time series.
This should stay relatively close until the 1970s. Then the land should start moving away
from the ocean.
This departure is part of AGW. The rest is in your Co2 increases.
Cheers
Phil
Gil,
These will do for my purpose. I won't pass them on. I am looking forward to the draft
paper. As you're fully aware you're going to have to go some ways to figuring out what's
causing the differences.
You will have to go down the sub-sampling, but I don't think it is going to make much
difference. The agreement between CRU and GISS is amazing good, as already know. You ought
to include the NCDC dataset as well.
[1]http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/research/anomalies/index.html the ERSST3b dataset.
In the lower two plots there appear to be two types of differences, clearer in the
NH20-70 land domain.
The first is when reanl20v2 differs for a single year (like a year in the last 1960s, 1967
or 1968) and then when it differs for about 10 years or so. It is good that it keeps coming
back. For individual years there are a couple of years in the first decade of the 20th
century (the 1900s).
The longer periods are those you've noticed - the 1920s and the 1890s. There is also
something up with the period 1955-65 and the 1970s. The 1920s seems to get back then go off
again from about 1935 to early 1940s. Best thing to try and isolate some of the reasons
would be maps for decades or individual years. For the 1920s I'd expect the differences to
be coming from Siberia as opposed to Canada. I think the 1890s might be just down to
sparser coverage. The 1890s is the only period where the difference brings your pink line
back towards the long-term zero. All the others have the pink line more extreme than the
HadCRUT3/GISS average.
Rob Allan just called. I briefly mentioned this to him. He suggested maps of data input
during these times. He also suggested looking at the spread of the ensembles. Your grey
spread is sort of this, but this is a different sort of ensemble to what Rob implied you
might have?
One final thing - don't worry too much about the 1940-60 period, as I think we'll be
changing the SSTs there for 1945-60 and with more digitized data for 1940-45. There is also
a tendency for the last 10 years (1996-2005) to drift slightly low - all 3 lines. This may
be down to SST issues.
Once again thanks for these! Hoping you'll send me a Christmas Present of the draft!
Cheers
Phil
At 20:45 09/11/2009, you wrote:

Phil,
1. I didn't get the attached.
Both version1 and version2 use HadISST1.1 for SST and sea ice.
2. time-varying CO2, volcanic aerosols, and solar variability (11-year cycle until 1949,
"observed" after that) are specified.
Attached is a research figure. Please do not share.
In it, I have plotted the annual average (top panel) 50S to 70N global average 2m
temperature from 20CRv2, SST/2m temperature from HadCRU3, SST/2m temperature from
GISTEMP 1200km, and the 90% range of 2m air temperature from 25 CMIP3 models that can be
extended beyond their 20C3M runs with SRESA1B. The ensemble mean is the thick gray
curve. Averages are July-June.
(middle panel) 50S to 70N land-only 2m temperature from 20CRv2, 2m temperature from
CRUTEM3, 2m temperature from GISTEMP land-only 1200km. CMIP3 data is the same.
(bottom panel) same as middle panel but for Northern Hemisphere land-only (20N to 70N).
Anomalies are with respect to 1901-2000. period is July 1891 to June 2005. The CRU
(HadCRU) curves are supposed to be black.
No data has been masked by another dataset's observational availability, but missing
values are not included in that dataset's area-weighted average.
Your ERA-Interim finding about it being warmer seems to be the case in the late 19th
century but not the early 1920's.
Note that the only thermometer data in the magenta curve (20CRv2) is the HadISST1.1 over
oceans. The two landonly panels are independent of thermometers, aside from the
specified SSTs.
There are some very interesting differences, particulary late-19th century, 1920s, and
WWII.
Correlations (I told you this was research, right?). The second pair is for linearly
detrended data.
GLOBE (70N-50S)

reanl20v2.70n50s.landocean.juljun
hadcru3.70n50s.landocean.juljun 0.94370

reanl20v2.70n50s.landocean.juljun
hadcru3.70n50s.landocean.juljun 0.82017

reanl20v2.70n50s.landocean.juljun
gistemp_combined1200.70n50s.landocean.juljun 0.95284

reanl20v2.70n50s.landocean.juljun
gistemp_combined1200.70n50s.landocean.juljun 0.85808

hadcru3.70n50s.landocean.juljun
gistemp_combined1200.70n50s.landocean.juljun 0.99088

hadcru3.70n50s.landocean.juljun
gistemp_combined1200.70n50s.landocean.juljun 0.97383
GLOBAL LAND (70N-50S)

reanl20v2.70n50s.landonly.juljun
cru3.70n50s.landonly.juljun 0.85167

reanl20v2.70n50s.landonly.juljun
cru3.70n50s.landonly.juljun 0.68755

reanl20v2.70n50s.landonly.juljun
gistemp_land1200.70n50s.landonly.juljun 0.81469

reanl20v2.70n50s.landonly.juljun
gistemp_land1200.70n50s.landonly.juljun 0.60152

cru3.70n50s.landonly.juljun
gistemp_land1200.70n50s.landonly.juljun 0.98050

cru3.70n50s.landonly.juljun
gistemp_land1200.70n50s.landonly.juljun 0.95316
NH Land (20N-70N)

reanl20v2.nh_nohigh.landonly.juljun
cru3.nh_nohigh.landonly.juljun 0.82956

reanl20v2.nh_nohigh.landonly.juljun
cru3.nh_nohigh.landonly.juljun 0.67989

reanl20v2.nh_nohigh.landonly.juljun
gistemp_land1200.nh_nohigh.landonly.juljun 0.79247

reanl20v2.nh_nohigh.landonly.juljun
gistemp_land1200.nh_nohigh.landonly.juljun 0.59900

cru3.nh_nohigh.landonly.juljun
gistemp_land1200.nh_nohigh.landonly.juljun 0.98001

cru3.nh_nohigh.landonly.juljun
gistemp_land1200.nh_nohigh.landonly.juljun 0.95880
I thought that correlations of 0.8 to 0.85 were high for an independent dataset this
long. I think that these are higher than the proxies?
The global isn't that fair because we have the HadISST.
The correlations are about the same as for AMIP runs, though. See
Hoerling M., A. Kumar, J. Eischeid, B. Jha (2008), What is causing the variability in
global mean land temperature?, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L23712,
doi:10.1029/2008GL035984.
It will be interesting to see if the masked numbers change.
Let me know if you need anything else on this for your essay material.
best wishes,
gil
Phil Jones wrote on 11/9/09 2:55 AM:

Gil,
A couple of questions.
1. See the attached. Is this paper providing the SST input to 20CRv2?
2. Do you change greenhouse gases in the run?
Apologies if these are answered elsewhere.
Do you have any pre-draft plots without subsampling to get some idea of how good the
agreement?
I'm asking these questions as I'm writing an essay for Climate Change. There are no
diagrams in this, but showing the agreement with 20CRv2 will be a nice way to finish the
paper.
Paper briefly documents the magnitude of all the problems in global temperature data -
such as SST biases, exposure issues, urbanization and site changes (in order of
importance). Site changes for global averages are the least important. Trying to point
to a few home truths to skeptics who keep on going on about the land data.
Cheers
Phil
At 15:39 03/11/2009, Gil Compo wrote:

Phil,
Already calculated. We don't suffer from some of the issues that you and Adrian raised
because we use only surface pressure.
In the Northern Hemisphere extratropics, the agreement with the various (yours, GISTEMP,
NOAA) thermometer-based near surface T is high, but in the Tropics and Southern
Hemisphere, there are discrepancies, particularly over Africa and South America. The
20CRv2 does not have the intensity of the Siberia warming.
There are also discrepancies in the WWII period. I have not subset the reanalysis to
correspond to a particular dataset's missing mask as all 3 have different coverages.
I'll be making plots for the paper (with a draft coming) soon.
best wishes,
gil
[2]P.Jones@uea.ac.uk wrote on 11/3/09 3:37 AM:

Gil,
I'm sitting in a meeting in Bristol with Rob Allan. We've
had a
thought. When you finish v2 will you be quickly calculating the global
T average for the 1891-2006 period? Do you expect this to look like the
real global T, or do you expect it to not show the longer timescale
change that NCEP from 1948 showed?

I can send a paper with Adrian Simmons from JGR in 2004 on
this when
I'm back in Norwich tomorrow.

Cheers
Phil

Dear Colleagues,

Courtesy of the NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory Physical Sciences
Division and University of Colorado CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center, at

[3]ftp://ftp.cdc.noaa.gov/Datasets/20thC_Rean/provisionalV2/ ,
please find temporary netCDF files from the 20th Century Reanalysis
version 2 (1891-2006). These yearly files are for the ensemble mean
analysis (means) and ensemble standard deviation (spreads) of selected
variables. Colleagues from organizations contributing to the 20th
Century Reanalysis version 2 or the International Surface Pressure
Databank version2.2, the observational input dataset, are welcome to
investigate these preliminary files. Colleagues on the Atmospheric
Circulation Reconstructions over the Earth Working Group 3
Verification and Validation of reanalyses are also welcome to begin
working with these files.

We are working with our distribution partners at the National Center for
Atmospheric Research, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration (NOAA) Earth System Research Laboratory and NOAAs
National Climatic Data Center on wider availability and documentation.
A rough draft of important documentation is attached.

Also, please see our new homepage at

[4]http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/data/20thC_Rean/ which includes access
to
images of 6-hourly sea level pressure and 500 geopotential maps
generated from the version 2 data.

When production is complete, the 20CR version 2 will span 1871 to
present.

The references for the dataset are
Compo, G.P., J.S. Whitaker, P.D. Sardeshmukh, N. Matsui, R.J. Allan,
X. Yin,B.E. Gleason, R.S. Vose, G. Rutledge, P. Bessemoulin, S.
Br�nnimann, M. Brunet, R.I. Crouthamel, A.N. Grant, P.Y. Groisman, P.D.
Jones, M. Kruk, A.C. Kruger, G.J. Marshall, M. Maugeri, H.Y. Mok, �.
Nordli, T.F. Ross, R.M. Trigo, X.L. Wang, S.D. Woodruff, S.J. Worley,
2009: The Twentieth Century Reanalysis Project. Quarterly J. Roy. Met.
Soc., in preparation.
Compo, G.P., J.S. Whitaker, P.D. Sardeshmukh, 2008: The 20th Century
Reanalysis Project. Third WCRP International Conference on Reanalysis,
28 January 2008, Tokyo, Japan

<
[5]http://wcrp.ipsl.jussieu.fr/Workshops/Reanalysis2008/Documents/V5-511_ea.pdf
>.
Compo,G.P., J.S. Whitaker, and P.D. Sardeshmukh, 2006: Feasibility of
a 100 year reanalysis using only surface pressure data. Bull. Amer. Met.
Soc., 87, 175-190.
Whitaker, J.S., G.P.Compo, X. Wei, and T.M. Hamill 2004: Reanalysis
without radiosondes using ensemble data assimilation. Mon. Wea. Rev.,
132, 1190-1200.
Please let us know of any questions about the dataset. And, thank you
for your contributions to its development.

Best wishes,
Gil Compo
[6]<compo@colorado.edu>
Jeffrey S. Whitaker
[7]
<Jeffrey.S.Whitaker@noaa.gov>
20th Century Reanalysis Project leads

--
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Gil Compo, Research Scientist, CIRES
University of Colorado

Mail : CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center
NOAA Physical Sciences Division
Earth System Research Laboratory
325 Broadway R/PSD1, Boulder, CO 80305-3328
Email: [8]compo@colorado.edu
Phone: (303) 497-6115 Fax: (303) 497-6449

[9]http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/people/gilbert.p.compo
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
"Stop and consider the wondrous works of God."
Job 37:34


--
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Gil Compo, Research Scientist, CIRES
University of Colorado

Mail : CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center
NOAA Physical Sciences Division
Earth System Research Laboratory
325 Broadway R/PSD1, Boulder, CO 80305-3328
Email: [10]compo@colorado.edu
Phone: (303) 497-6115 Fax: (303) 497-6449

[11]http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/people/gilbert.p.compo
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
"Stop and consider the wondrous works of God."
Job 37:34

Prof. Phil Jones
Climatic Research Unit Telephone +44 (0) 1603 592090
School of Environmental Sciences Fax +44 (0) 1603 507784
University of East Anglia
Norwich Email [12]p.jones@uea.ac.uk
NR4 7TJ
UK
----------------------------------------------------------------------------


--
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Gil Compo, Research Scientist, CIRES
University of Colorado

Mail : CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center
NOAA Physical Sciences Division
Earth System Research Laboratory
325 Broadway R/PSD1, Boulder, CO 80305-3328
Email: [13]compo@colorado.edu
Phone: (303) 497-6115 Fax: (303) 497-6449
[14]http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/people/gilbert.p.compo
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
"Stop and consider the wondrous works of God."
Job 37:34

Prof. Phil Jones
Climatic Research Unit Telephone +44 (0) 1603 592090
School of Environmental Sciences Fax +44 (0) 1603 507784
University of East Anglia
Norwich Email p.jones@uea.ac.uk
NR4 7TJ
UK
----------------------------------------------------------------------------

References

1. http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/research/anomalies/index.html%A0
2. mailto:P.Jones@uea.ac.uk
3. ftp://ftp.cdc.noaa.gov/Datasets/20thC_Rean/provisionalV2/
4. http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/data/20thC_Rean/
5. http://wcrp.ipsl.jussieu.fr/Workshops/Reanalysis2008/Documents/V5-511_ea.pdf
6. mailto:compo@colorado.edu
7. mailto:Jeffrey.S.Whitaker@noaa.gov
8. mailto:compo@colorado.edu
9. http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/people/gilbert.p.compo
10. mailto:compo@colorado.edu
11. http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/people/gilbert.p.compo
12. mailto:p.jones@uea.ac.uk
13. mailto:compo@colorado.edu
14. http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/people/gilbert.p.compo